Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals tips off tonight between the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks. The Warriors have pretty much dominated all series, as the Mavericks haven’t been able to put together a full group effort for the entirety of a game this series. The Mavs will look to win a game for pride tonight in hopes of becoming the first team to ever complete a 3-0 series comeback.
Game 4 tips off from American Airlines Center in Dallas at 9pm ET on TNT.
The betting angles
Tonight’s line is almost pick ‘em with the Warriors at +1 with a -105 moneyline, while Dallas is -1 with a -115 moneyline.
Why Dallas can win and cover -1:
Boy oh boy is Dallas due for one. While Luka Doncic finished with 40 points in Game Three, the shooting from his role players was abysmal. Reggie Bullock, Maxi Kleber, and Davis Bertans shot horribly, so it’s fair to expect that they will step up at least a bit in this elimination game. Jalen Brunson is an X factor as well. His ability to facilitate and work for his shot in the midrange and paint is crucial for Dallas success. If Luka scores like he usually does, but also facilities and gets some support from his shooters the Mavs could stay alive in this series.
Why Golden Stats can win and cover +1:
Stephen Curry has played like the two time MVP that he is. Coming off of a 31 point performance in Game Three, Steph made it clear that he wants to close out the series here tonight. Andrew Wiggins had a career night in Game Three, and has become somewhat of an X-factor type player for the Warriors. He’s been prolific on both ends of the flour, and his athleticism is simply unmatched by the Mavericks. The Warriors always play good defense as they’re lead by Draymond Green, so assuming he doesn’t get ejected (who knows) the Dubs should be fine at that end. If Golden State clicks again tonight like they did in Game Three, they should find themselves returning to yet another NBA Finals.
The Pick: Take Golden State -1:
The Warriors have proven that they are the better team in all three games of this series. Even when the Mavericks had a large lead at half in Game Two the Warriors came storming back to win. Golden State is experienced and simply a well oiled machine that is too much for the Mavericks to overcome.